Estimating the potential impact of nonvoters

Estimating the potential impact of nonvoters on outcomes of parliamentary elections in proportional systems with an application to German national elections from 1949 to 2009.

This is the documentation page for "Kohler, Ulrich (2011): Estimating the potential impact of nonvoters on outcomes of parliamentary elections in proportional systems with an application to German national elections from 1949 to 2009. Electoral Studies.

On this page you may found all Stata do-files for the analyses in the paper.

With the master do-file you can replicate all analyses of the paper. For this you need to download all do-files.

In what follows you find the complete list of the do-files. They appear in the order of their making during the preparation of the paper.

Preliminary analyses


crbtw.do: Data set of BTW
crltw.do: Data set of LTW
crltwseats.do: Seats in Landestag
crelections.do: Joint Data set of elections
crbtwsurvey.do: Survey election data for BTW
anseats.do: Distribution of seats in BTW (checking the program)
crltwsurvey.do: Survey election data for LTW (thewes@wzb.eu)
anseats1976.do: Hypothetical distribution of seats
anparameters.do: L,G,NoP, for BTW and LTW *do anbrpotential: Potential power of state elections
anlr.do: Left-right by voteing
crltwsvy.do: Meta-Daten Landtagswahl-Survey (thewes@wzb.eu)
anltwsvydes.do: Dokumentation of datasets (thewes@wzb.eu)
anbtwsvydes.do: Dokumentation of BTW datasets

Starting a fork for participation_model


crpopweights.do: Population weights from state electorates
grindeps.do: Independent variables by election date
anmfit.do: Count r^2 for regression models
anmpred1.do: Predicted values and CI (for average non-voter)
anmpred2.do: Bootstraped Predicted values
grbehavdiff.do: Difference between Voters and Non-voters
grseatshat.do: Change in seats per party
grgallagher.do: Gallagher Index
angovchange.do: Probability of government change

Return to Nichtwähler-Induziert Zäsuren der Bundesrepublik Deutschland


anmpredltw.do: Version of anmpred2.do for LTW
grbehavdiff_ltw.do: Difference between Voters and Non-voters (LTW)
grseatshat_ltw.do: Change in seats per party (LTW)
grgallagher_ltw.do: Gallagher Index (LTW)
angovchange_ltw.do: Probability of government change (LTW)

Update analysis for 2009 election (ES Resubmission)


crbtw.do: Data set of BTW (updated to 2009)
crltw.do: Data set of LTW
crltwseats.do: Seats in Landestag
crelections.do: Joint Data set of elections (updated to 2009)
crpopweights.do: Population weights (rerun file with updated btw.dta)
crbtwsurvey2.do: Survey election data for BTW (updated to 2009)
grindeps2.do: Independent variables by election date
anmfit2.do: Count r^2 for regression models
anmpred22.do: Bootstraped Predicted values
grbehavdiff2.do: Difference between Voters and Non-voters
grseatshat2.do: Change in seats per party
grgallagher2.do: Gallagher Index
angovchange2.do: Probability of government change

Check variabilty with T^Max


grseatshat_100.do: Change in seats per party (T^Max = 100)
grgallagher_100.do: Gallagher Index (T^Max = 100)
angovchange_100.do: Probability of government change (T^Max = 100)

Applying apportionment for district Voting '49 and '53


anbtw49.do: Check-out district voting of 1949
anbtw53.do: Check-out district voting of 1953
anmpred23.do: Bootstraped Predicted values
crseats.do: Apportionment using anmpred23_bs.dta
grseatshat3.do: Change in seats per party
grgallagher3.do: Gallagher Index
angovchange3.do: Probability of government change
angovchange_by_tmax.do: Check variablity of results by T^Max